2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors
2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

SportsLine’s Golf Model Simulates Final Round of 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club

the second time in his major championship career, Xander Schauffele enters the final round with a share of the lead, tying with Collin Morikawa at 15-under in the 2024 PGA Championship. Schauffele, who was in a similar position during the 2018 Open Championship but did not secure the win, aims for his first major title as the final round kicks off on Sunday. Close behind at -14 is Sahith Theegala, whose best major finish so far is ninth. Schauffele is currently the favorite with odds of +250 (risk $100 to win $250), while Morikawa follows closely at +260.

Theegala shares his odds of +650 with Bryson DeChambeau, who is two shots off the lead. Viktor Hovland (+750) and Shane Lowry (+1200) are both at 13-under and are the only other contenders with odds below +4000. The final round begins at 7:45 a.m. ET, with the leading pair teeing off at 2:35 p.m. ET. Before making any bets, check the 2024 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from SportsLine’s proven computer model.

SportsLine’s proprietary model, created by DFS expert Mike McClure, has been highly successful since the PGA Tour resumed in June 2020. The model has generated nearly $9,000 on its best bets, consistently predicting tournament winners. It accurately projected Scottie Scheffler’s victories at the 2024 Masters, the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and The Players Championship this season. McClure’s model also included Hideki Matsuyama in its winning bets for the 2024 Genesis Invitational at +9000, bringing substantial returns.

The model also predicted Jon Rahm’s triumphs at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express, as well as his second major win at the 2023 Masters, despite Rahm being two strokes off the lead entering the third round. This marked the model’s second consecutive correct prediction for the Masters. Moreover, the model accurately forecasted wins for Nick Taylor (70-1) at the 2023 RBC Canadian Open, Jason Day (17-1) at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, and Rickie Fowler (14-1) at the 2023 Rocket Mortgage Classic. Having nailed 11 majors entering the weekend and predicting the Masters winner three years in a row, the model offers significant returns to its followers.

With three rounds completed at the 2024 PGA Championship, SportsLine simulated the final round 10,000 times, yielding surprising results. Visit SportsLine to view the projected leaderboard for the final round of the 2024 PGA Championship.

Top 2024 PGA Championship Sunday Predictions

One unexpected forecast from the model is that Lowry, who made history on Saturday with his 62, will struggle to barely finish in the top 10. Better value bets are available for Round 4. Despite his remarkable Saturday performance, Lowry is two strokes behind and faces tough competition. He posted 69 on both Thursday and Friday, and similar scores are expected for Round 4. Given his recent PGA Tour finishes—T19 or worse in his last three individual events and no top-10 finishes in this championship recently—the model advises against betting on him.

Conversely, the model predicts a surprising surge from Justin Thomas, who is 10-under and five strokes off the lead. Priced at +8000, he is an attractive option for a big payout. Thomas, still seeking his first win since the 2022 PGA Championship, has had a rebound season in 2024 with three top-10 and six top-25 finishes. Remembering his remarkable seven-shot comeback to win the 2022 PGA Championship, the model favors him to outpace several players currently ahead on the leaderboard. Check SportsLine for more picks and predictions.

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

Latest 2024 PGA Championship odds, field

See full PGA Championship 2024 picks, best betsand predictions here.

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors
2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

Xander Schauffele +250
Collin Morikawa +260
Bryson DeChambeau +650
Sahith Theegala +650
Victor Hovland +750
Shane Lowry +1200
Robert MacIntyre +4000
Justin Rose +4000
Dean Burmester +6500
Justin Thomas +8000
Tony Finau +12000
Rory McIlroy +17000
Thomas Detry +22000
Harris English +22000
Austin Eckroat +27000
Lee Hodges +35000
Scottie Scheffler +40000
Jordan Spieth +60000
Taylor Moore +60000
Keegan Bradley +60000

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors
2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

2024 PGA Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, Sunday predictions from golf model that nailed 11 majors

ALSO READ- Xander Schauffele wins first major at US PGA Championship

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

In men’s professional golf, it’s expected that prize money payouts will keep increasing. The real question is by how much. This year, the PGA of America answered that by boosting the PGA Championship purse by $1 million, bringing it to a record $18.5 million.

Xander Schauffele captured the championship on Sunday at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, shooting a final-round 65 and taking home $3.33 million.

To put this in perspective, the total purse just four years ago at TPC Harding Park was $11 million. Since then, the PGA of America has consistently increased the prize money: by $1 million for the 2021 PGA at Kiawah, by $3 million for the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, and by another $2.5 million for the 2023 PGA at Oak Hill.

Detailed PGA Championship Payout Structure

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA Championship PAYOUT

The 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club featured a record total purse of $18.5 million, with payouts structured to reward players at various levels of the leaderboard.

Major Payouts

  • Winner (Xander Schauffele): $3.3 million for finishing 21 under par.
  • Second Place (Bryson DeChambeau): Seven-figure sum for his strong performance.
  • Third Place (Viktor Hovland): Also received a significant seven-figure payout.

Top Finisher Earnings

  • Top 10: Each player within the top 10 earned at least $500,000.
  • Top 31: Players in the top 31 secured checks exceeding $100,000.

Comparisons with Other Events

  • Masters 2024: Scottie Scheffler took home $3.6 million from a $20 million purse.
  • Arnold Palmer Invitational: Scheffler earned $4 million.
  • Players Championship: Scheffler’s highest single-event payout was $4.5 million.

Payouts for Players Missing the Cut

  • 36-hole score but missed cut: $4,000 per player.
  • Made the cut but did not complete 72 holes: $4,000 per player.

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

Evolution of the PGA Championship Prize Money

The prize money for the PGA Championship has seen significant increases in recent years, reflecting broader trends in men’s professional golf. The 2024 PGA Championship at Valhalla Golf Club continued this trend with a substantial prize pool.

Recent Increases in Prize Money

  • 2020 (TPC Harding Park): $11 million total purse.
  • 2021 (Kiawah Island): Increased by $1 million to $12 million.
  • 2022 (Southern Hills): Raised by $3 million to $15 million.
  • 2023 (Oak Hill): Further increase of $2.5 million to $17.5 million.
  • 2024 (Valhalla Golf Club): Record total purse of $18.5 million, a $1 million increase from the previous year.

2024 PGA Championship Payouts

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
  • Winner (Xander Schauffele): $3.33 million for finishing 21 under par.
  • Top 10 Finishers: Each earned at least $500,000.
  • Top 31 Finishers: Each received over $100,000.
  • Players Missing the Cut: $4,000 for completing 36 holes.
  • Players Making the Cut but Not Completing 72 Holes: $4,000.

2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

Rising Prize Money in Men’s Professional Golf

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT

In men’s professional golf, it’s expected that prize money payouts will keep increasing. The real question is by how much. This year, the PGA of America answered that by boosting the PGA Championship purse by $1 million, bringing it to a record $18.5 million.

Xander Schauffele captured the championship on Sunday at Valhalla Golf Club in Louisville, shooting a final-round 65 and taking home $3.33 million.

To put this in perspective, the total purse just four years ago at TPC Harding Park was $11 million. Since then, the PGA of America has consistently increased the prize money: by $1 million for the 2021 PGA at Kiawah, by $3 million for the 2022 PGA at Southern Hills, and by another $2.5 million for the 2023 PGA at Oak Hill.

Here’s a look at the evolution of the prize money payout in the PGA Championship, offering a revealing glance at the trajectory of golf purses in general over the years:
Year: Winner’s Pay, Total Purse
1916: $500, $2,580 (first year of the event)
1931: $1,000, $7,200 (first year winner’s pay increased)
1953: $5,000, $20,700 (first year winner’s pay was $5K)
1958: $5,500, $39,388 (first year of stroke play; winner’s amount actually decreased that year)
1965: $25,000, $149,700
1978: $50,000, $300,240
1983: $100,000, $608,099
1988: $160,000, $1,000,000 (first year with a $1M total purse)
1993: $300,000, $1,702,750
1998: $540,000, $2,886,800
2000: $900,000, $5,031,100 (first year with a $5M total purse)
2003: $1,080,000, $5,938,300 (first year with $1M-plus to the winner)
2009: $1,350,000, $7,484,500
2014: $1,800,000, $9,913,000
2018: $1,980,000, $11,000,000
2021: $2,160,000, $12,000,000
2022: $2,700,000, $15,000,000
2023: $3,150,000, $17,500,000
The latest jump, however, leaves the PGA Championship’s purse shy of the $20 million paydays offered in the PGA Tour’s new signature events as well as the $20 million paydays being played for individually on the LIV Golf circuit.

Here is a breakdown of the prize money payouts for each place in the field.

PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT

Win: Xander Schauffele, -21//263, $3,330,000
2: Bryson DeChambeau, -20/264, $1,998,000
3: Viktor Hovland, -18/266, $1,258,000
T-4: Thomas Detry, -15/269, $814,000
T-4: Collin Morikawa, -15/269, $814,000
T-6: Shane Lowry, -14/270, $639,440
T-6: Justin Rose, -14/270, $639,440
T-8: Robert MacIntyre, -13/271, $521,417.50
T-8: Justin Thomas, -13/271, $521,417.50
T-8: Scottie Scheffler, -13/271, $521,417.50
T-8: Billy Horschel, -13/271, $521,417.50
T-12: Dean Burmester, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-12: Lee Hodges, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-12: Taylor Moore, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-12: Rory McIlroy, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-12: Alex Noren, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-12: Sahith Theegala, -12/272, $359,943.33
T-18: Tony Finau, -11/273, $230,764
T-18: Harris English, -11/273, $230,764
T-18: Austin Eckroat, -11/273, $230,764
T-18: Keegan Bradley, -11/273, $230,764
T-18: Ryo Hisatsune, -11/273, $230,764
T-23: Russell Henley, -10/274, $170,136.67
T-23: Tom Hoge, -10/274, $170,136.67
T-23: Maverick McNealy, -10/274, $170,136.67
T-26: Tom Kim, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Mark Hubbard, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Ben Kohles, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Kurt Kitayama, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Min Woo Lee, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Brian Harman, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Corey Conners, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Brooks Koepka, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-26: Tommy Fleetwood, -9/275, $113,962.22
T-35: Hideki Matsuyama, -8/276, $79,182.50
T-35: Max Homa, -8/276, $79,182.50
T-35: Doug Ghim, -8/276, $79,182.50
T-35: Brice Garnett, -8/276, $79,182.50
T-39: Aaron Rai, -7/277, $66,847.50
T-39: Alexander Bjork, -7/277, $66,847.50
T-39: Joaquin Niemann, -7/277, $66,847.50
T-39: Jordan Smith, -7/277, $66,847.50
T-43: Jordan Spieth, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Matt Wallace, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Jason Day, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Will Zalatoris, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Lucas Glover, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Adam Svensson, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Byeong Hun An, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Grayson Murray, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Dustin Johnson, -6/278, $48,969
T-43: Lucas Herbert, -6/278, $48,969
T-53: Zac Blair, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Thorbjorn Olesen, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Patrick Reed, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Jeper Svensson, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Patrick Cantlay, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Erik van Rooyen, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-53: Andrew Putnam, -5/279, $32,587.14
T-60: Gary Woodland, -4/280, $27,016.67
T-60: Adam Hadwin, -4/280, $27,016.67
T-60: Talor Gooch, -4/280, $27,016.67
T-63: Cameron Smith, -3/281, $26,000
T-63: Tyrrell Hatton, -3/281, $25,202
T-63: Cameron Young, -3/281, $25,202
T-63: Rickie Fowler, -3/281, $25,202
T-63: S.H. Kim, -3/281, $25,202
T-68: Nicolai Hojgaard, -2/282, $23,537.50
T-68: Luke Donald, -2/282, $23,537.50
T-68: Rasmus Hojgaard, -2/282, $23,537.50
T-68: Sebastian Soderberg, -2/282, $23,537.50
72: Braden Shattuck (PGA pro), -1/283, $22,830
T-73: Martin Kaymer, E/284, $22,560
T-73: Alejandro Tosti, E/284, $22,560
75: Ryan Fox, +2/286, $22,350
76: Stephan Jaeger, +5/289, $22,230
77: Jeremy Wells (PGA pro), +6/290, $22,140
78: Brendon Todd, +9/293, $22,100
Players missing the cut and turning in a 36-hole score were paid $4,000 each. Any player making the cut but failing to submit a 72-hole score were also be paid $4,000.

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PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
PGA CHAMPIONSHIP PAYOUT
2024 PGA Championship prize money, purse: Payouts for Xander Schauffele, golfers from $18.5 million pool.

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