Table of Contents
Black Friday 2025 (November 28, 2025) is the single best shopping day to score deals on flagship phones — but Apple gear behaves differently than other electronics. If you’re watching the iPhone 16 (and the Pro/Plus/Ultra variants), here’s a clear, realistic breakdown of price predictions, best places to buy, and how to snag the biggest savings
iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions — What Buyers Should Expect (Nov 28, 2025)
Check live iPhone 16 Black Friday offers now →
🔎 Quick summary — TL;DR price expectations
- iPhone 16 (base model) — Expect modest discounts: $30–$150 off or gift-card bundles. Realistic sale price range: $699–$829 (depends on configuration and pre-sale pricing).
- iPhone 16 Plus / 16 Pro / 16 Pro Max — Expect bundles & carrier promos more than big straight discounts. Typical offers: $100–$300 off via trade-in + carrier credits, or free accessories / AppleCare discounts.
- Best value play — carrier deals and retailer bundles (Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart) that pair the phone with gift cards, discounted AirPods, or monthly bill credits.
- Refurbished / Renewed — Apple Certified Refurbished and Amazon Renewed may deliver 10–20% lower prices during BF week.
Note: These are predictions, not guarantees. Apple rarely cuts MSRP deeply — instead, retailers/carriers add incentives.
🧠 Why iPhone discounts are different in 2025
Apple traditionally protects iPhone MSRP — you’ll rarely see slashed list prices like TVs. Instead, savings are driven by:
- Carrier subsidies & trade-ins — carriers (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile) often offer the biggest effective discounts via monthly bill credits when you trade in an older device.
- Retailer bundles — Amazon, Best Buy, Walmart, Target often bundle with gift cards or add free accessories (AirPods at a discount).
- Apple Certified Refurbished — Apple’s own refurbished program and approved resellers offer meaningful savings on like-new phones.
- Financing & cashback — 0% APR financing and card-linked cashback deals (Amex, Citibank) amplify savings.
iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions — What Buyers Should Expect (Nov 28, 2025)
See current Amazon price → iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions
💸 Predicted price scenarios (conservative → optimistic)
Below are plausible price scenarios you can use in guides or deal-watch posts.
iPhone 16 (base) — 128GB
- Conservative: $799 (no discount)
- Realistic BF Offer: $749 – $769 (coupon + small retailer discount)
- Optimistic: $699 + $50 gift card (deep bundle)
- Don’t miss the best iPhone 16 deals — check today
iPhone 16 Pro — 256GB
- Conservative: $999 (no discount)
- Realistic BF Offer: Effective price $849–$899 with trade-in + carrier credits
- Optimistic: $799 + accessory bundle (rare, but possible with trade-in)
- Don’t miss the best iPhone 16 deals — check today →
Refurbished/Renewed options
- Apple Certified Refurbished iPhone 16 (like-new): 10–18% off typical, sometimes more on BF week.
- Amazon Renewed / Best Buy Renewed: 12–25% off depending on stock.
🛒 Where to hunt the best iPhone 16 deals
- Apple Store / Apple Refurbished — Great for warranty and safe refurb buys. Affiliate: Apple Affiliate (limited) or link to Apple gift cards.
- Amazon — Fastest restocks, Prime shipping, occasional gift-card bundles. High affiliate conversion.
- Best Buy — In-store pickup, price match windows, carrier switch bundles. Good affiliate program + electronics shoppers.
- Walmart & Target — Gift card bundles plus easy returns.
- Carrier stores (Verizon, AT&T, T-Mobile) — Best for aggressive trade-in credit promos; use carrier affiliate links where available.
- Refurbished marketplaces — Apple Certified Refurbished, Amazon Renewed, Gazelle, Decluttr.
iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions — What Buyers Should Expect (Nov 28, 2025)
⚠️ Common mistakes shoppers make
- Chasing the “lowest price” only to lose warranty or return protections (beware gray-market sellers).
- Ignoring total cost of ownership — activation fees, carrier contracts, and insurance costs matter.
- Missing gift-card bundles that can be more valuable than a small straight discount.
ALSO READ-Black Friday Price Tracking Tools & Apps 2025 — Never Miss a Deal Again!
10 FAQs on iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions (Nov 28, 2025) —
covering what buyers should expect, based on current trends and early sale data:
1. What price drop can we realistically expect for the iPhone 16 on Black Friday 2025?
Based on early Black Friday offers and retailer trends, the iPhone 16 is already being listed for as low as ₹56,999 on Flipkart.
At Croma, after bank offers and exchange deals, it can go under ₹40,000. Croma
So a drop of ₹13,000 or more is very possible — especially if exchange or card offers stack up.
2. Why is the iPhone 16 being discounted so heavily now?
There are a few reasons:
- iPhone 17 Launch Effect: With newer models out, retailers are discounting the 16 to clear inventory.
- Aggressive Black Friday Promotions: E-commerce platforms like Flipkart and Croma are offering deep cuts plus bank and exchange offers.
- Trade-in Offers: Customers trading in older devices are getting big discounts, further lowering the effective price. Goodreturns
3. What is the lowest confirmed Black Friday 2025 price for the iPhone 16 so far?
- Croma’s Black Friday deal shows an effective price of around ₹39,990 with all offers applied.
- Flipkart is listing the 128GB model for ₹56,999 after a ₹13,000 discount.
These are among the lowest confirmed drops at present.
4. Will credit card offers significantly affect the final price?
Yes — card offers are playing a huge role. For example:
- On Vijay Sales, there’s a flat ₹4,000 discount for ICICI and SBI credit card transactions.
- On Flipkart, using HDFC or SBI cards may allow for additional instant discounts on top of the base price.
So savvy buyers who combine deals + card offers + trade-ins can maximize savings.
5. Can exchange offers bring the iPhone 16 price down even more?
Very likely. Multiple reports suggest that exchange offers are a big part of the “under ₹40,000” deal at Croma. Croma
On Flipkart, trade-ins of older devices (like iPhone 13 or similar) are being used to reduce the effective cost significantly.
If your old phone’s value is high, you stand to save a lot when these offers stack up.
6. Are there regional differences in the Black Friday iPhone 16 pricing?
Yes, deals vary significantly depending on the region:
- In India: We’ve seen confirmed drops under ₹40,000 at Croma.
- Online Retailers: Flipkart’s ₹56,999 deal is specific to its Black Friday event.
- Card Offers Depend on Bank: Different banks (ICICI, SBI, HDFC) are offering different discounts.
Because of these regional and retailer differences, your final deal will depend a lot on where and how you buy.
7. Is this the lowest the iPhone 16 is likely to get in 2025?
It’s possible but not guaranteed.
- Some early Black Friday pricing is very aggressive, especially with exchange + bank combos.
- After Black Friday, if stock remains, you might see similar or slightly lower prices during other big sale events or clearance.
- However, once inventory drops, the deepest discounts might disappear — so it’s a strong opportunity to act now.
8. Are there risks to waiting for “even lower” deals after Black Friday?
Yes. Waiting can be risky because:
- Some Black Friday discounts (especially on flagship models) are limited quantity.
- Newer models (like iPhone 17/17 Pro) could reduce demand for the 16, but retailers may reduce volume.
- Exchange offers are best when there’s high stock — once iPhone 16 becomes “old stock,” trade-in bonuses may shrink.
- Price tracking tools will help, but best deals often hit hard and sell out fast.
9. Should I buy the iPhone 16 now or wait for Cyber Monday?
That depends:
- If Flipkart / Croma deals are already strong, it may be safer to buy now rather than wait.
- If you want more aggressive bundling (like with AppleCare, accessories, or trade-in), Cyber Monday might offer more.
- But there’s no guarantee that the exact model or color you want will be in stock during later sales.
10. Is the iPhone 16 still a good buy in 2025?
Absolutely — especially during Black Friday:
- It’s feature-rich, with Apple Intelligence, a powerful A18 chip, and excellent camera performance.
- It’s being aggressively discounted, providing a premium iPhone feel at a significantly reduced price.
- For buyers who don’t need the newest model, it’s a smart, cost-efficient choice.
Example to Buy:
- Apple iPhone 16 (128 GB) — track the deal across Flipkart, Croma, and other retailers for the best Black Friday offer.
iPhone 16 Black Friday Price Predictions — What Buyers Should Expect (Nov 28, 2025)
